Western intelligence did not rule out the mobilization of up to half a million Russians in the near future

Vladimir Putin may soon announce a new mobilization of up to 500,000 reservists. According to the Times, citing Western intelligence officials, new recruits could be trained and sent to the front by April, when weather conditions in Ukraine allow a major offensive to be launched.

Military experts believe that Russia will launch an offensive in the spring in order for Kyiv to withdraw troops from Donetsk and Lugansk.

“Serious preparations are underway in the Russian regional military registration and enlistment offices. The Kremlin conducted private polls. Ordinary Russians are worried about the war, but they also don’t want to be defeated,” a Western official said on condition of anonymity. According to the interlocutors of the publication, the Russian president is encouraged by the results of the polls, which show that, despite the setbacks on the battlefield, support for the Russian army remains at a high level.

According to Western officials, the number of Russian and Ukrainian military personnel participating in hostilities is almost equal. However, the Russian command will need to outnumber the Ukrainian forces by three times in order to successfully advance.

At the same time, experts do not exclude new offensives by the Russian army until spring. Russian warships left Novorossiysk this week, raising concerns about landings on the Black Sea side. General Valery Gerasimov, who has assumed command of Russian forces in Ukraine, may be tempted to send troops into another attack on northern Ukraine from Belarus. Neither offensive is likely to result in Russia gaining more territory, but this way Russian generals can hope to weaken Ukrainian resources by the start of the main hostilities.


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