Idle petrol production capacity at Russian refineries to fall by 3% April/March

MOSCOW, March 16 (Reuters) – Gasoline production shutdown at Russian refineries in April will decrease by 3% from March, according to Reuters calculations based on information on annual and ongoing overhauls of Russian refineries located at the Eikon terminal and industry sources . According to the current overhaul schedule, the total volume of withdrawn secondary capacities for the production of motor gasoline components (reforming, cracking, isomerization and alkylation) of Russian refineries will not increase in April and will amount to 0.693 million tonnes, i.e. 2.8 million tonnes. % less than in March (0.736 million tons). The capacities of gasoline processes withdrawn in April may be higher than the March level by 9% in the event of the probable extension of the March shutdown of the installation for another month and amount to approx. 0.778 million tonnes. At the same time, the estimated value of withdrawn gasoline production capacity will remain much lower than the actual value in April 2022 (1.105 million tonnes). Also, the March standstill of gasoline units is lower than the actual value from March 22 (0.804 million tons). The current recovery plan assumes a reduction in the production of target components (reformate, cat. cracked gasoline, isomerizate and alkylate) in March by 0.575 million tonnes, which is approx. 17% of the average production of commercial gasolines, in April – by 0.539 million tonnes (16% of production) or by 0.614 million tons (18% of production), in the case of an expected increase in the actual shutdown. The total availability of gasoline capacity in 2023 is to amount to 8.873 million tonnes (6.782 million tonnes in product production), in 2022 unused production capacity amounted to 10.742 million tonnes (8.561 million tonnes in product production). The largest withdrawal of secondary capacity at Russian refineries in 2023 is expected in August (0.919 million tonnes), September (1.255 million tonnes) and October (1.011 million tonnes). The installed production capacity of the existing gasoline processes in Russian refineries potentially allows for the production of approximately 56 million tonnes of high-octane components for motor gasolines annually. In January-December 2022, according to Refinitiv, Russian refineries produced 42.6 million tons of gasoline, of which 37.8 million tons went to the domestic market. Below is the calculation of the withdrawn gasoline production capacity according to the repair schedule at Russian refineries in 2023, broken down by month (thousand tonnes): Process Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total for 23g 1,437,650 28,095 410 279 493 445 359 463 636 572 282 104 4.699 каталитический крекинг 312 185 221 190 243 215 139 139 414 578 397 226 31 3.152 и зrew 0 02 020 0 9 42 89202 42 42 42 42 41 42 83 41 42 41 42 82 41 42 41 42 82 41 42 42 42 42 42 4 0 81 Production Tame Mtbe 12 11 12 7 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 461 562 804 1.105 982 722 905 762 931 1.660 999 851 10,742 Downtime of gasoline units in 23g as % of total process capacity of Russian refineries: Process Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total for 23g Preprocessing 4.1 5 .2 5.9 11.1 13.4 9, 5 4.5 10.6 15.2 12.0 5.1 2.2 8.2 Catalytic reforming 11.9 12.8 14.6 10.3 17.5 16.4 12.8 16.5 23, 4 20.4 10.4 3.7 14.2 Catalytic Fracture 1 3.7 9.0 9.7 8.6 10.6 9.8 6.1 18.1 26.2 17.4 10.3 1.3 11.7 Isomerization 7.1 7.9 4.9 19 19 19 19.8 17.5 3, 9 3.9 3.9 3.9 36.2 17.0 ALKYLONE. 4.8 19.5 5.4 6.5 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 TAME MTBE production 11.2 11.2 11.2 7, 0 4.3 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Marns to target product April May Jul August September October December DEC for 23 g straight gasoline 179 205 254 468 584 399 195 459 637 521 216 98 4.214 Rformat 293 285 361 245 434 392 316 408 560 503 248 248 4.135 Gatolina CAT 178 106 126 108 138 123 79 226 29 129 1.797 ITEMERYZAT 63 63 44 170 155 35 35 35 35 35 735 alkyat 0 7 33 9 9 9 9 9 9 33 9 9 9 33 9 9 9 33 9 9 33 9 0 0 0 0 0 67 TAME, MTBE 12 11 12 7 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 Total gasoline components* in 23 g 546 472 575 539 742 557 429 678 923 764 411 143 6.782 Total gasoline components** in 22 g 388 44 620 882 817 612 755 641 712 1,273 783 637 8,561 * – main gasoline units ** – based on actual shutdowns in 2022